Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
НОВОЕ
$68,353 Объем
НОВОЕ
$68,353 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
7%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
17%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
НОВОЕ
$68,353 Объем
НОВОЕ
$68,353 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$14,946 Объем
7%
40-64
$4,550 Объем
29%
65-89
$3,130 Объем
39%
90-114
$2,431 Объем
17%
115-139
$3,756 Объем
9%
140-164
$6,037 Объем
2%
165-189
$7,419 Объем
1%
190-214
$11,683 Объем
<1%
215-239
$5,370 Объем
<1%
240+
$9,214 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$68,353Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$68,353Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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