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Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?

Market icon

Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?

апр. 13

апр. 15

апр. 13

апр. 15

65–89 49%

40-64 29%

90-114 15%

115-139 3.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$41,843 Объем

65–89 49%

40-64 29%

90-114 15%

115-139 3.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$41,843 Объем

Менее 40

$4,249 Объем

2%

40-64

$767 Объем

29%

65–89

$2,421 Объем

49%

90-114

$3,287 Объем

15%

115-139

$1,317 Объем

4%

140-164

$1,086 Объем

1%

165–189

$5,034 Объем

1%

190-214

$8,189 Объем

1%

215–239

$10,866 Объем

<1%

240+

$4,924 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability, with 40-64 close behind at 29%, driven by his recent moderation to 20-30 daily replies and quotes amid political rants, Tesla FSD demos, and SpaceX updates. After spiking over 300 posts on April 7 amid securities fraud rulings and SpaceX IPO speculation, volume normalized in the April 9-11 window to roughly 70-80 total per trackers, curbing bets on extremes. Weekend timing signals lighter engagement absent viral catalysts like Starship tests or culture war flare-ups, though Musk's unpredictable commentary keeps higher bins viable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$41,843
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability, with 40-64 close behind at 29%, driven by his recent moderation to 20-30 daily replies and quotes amid political rants, Tesla FSD demos, and SpaceX updates. After spiking over 300 posts on April 7 amid securities fraud rulings and SpaceX IPO speculation, volume normalized in the April 9-11 window to roughly 70-80 total per trackers, curbing bets on extremes. Weekend timing signals lighter engagement absent viral catalysts like Starship tests or culture war flare-ups, though Musk's unpredictable commentary keeps higher bins viable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$41,843
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «65–89» с 49%, за ним следует «40-64» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $41.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 11, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?» — «65–89» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-64» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Илон Маск # tweets 13 апреля - 15 апреля 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.