Recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women against Rep. Eric Swalwell, including claims of assault dating back years, prompted the House Ethics Committee to open an investigation on April 13, 2026, and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department to launch a criminal probe. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California governor campaign amid bipartisan calls for accountability, with one accuser planning a police report. However, no formal charges, indictment, or arrest warrant have emerged, and prior FBI scrutiny over China ties remains unresolved without action. Traders' 85.5% "No" consensus reflects the nascent stage of probes, procedural hurdles to swift arrest, and six-week timeline to May 31, emphasizing uncertainty in DOJ or local enforcement timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women against Rep. Eric Swalwell, including claims of assault dating back years, prompted the House Ethics Committee to open an investigation on April 13, 2026, and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department to launch a criminal probe. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California governor campaign amid bipartisan calls for accountability, with one accuser planning a police report. However, no formal charges, indictment, or arrest warrant have emerged, and prior FBI scrutiny over China ties remains unresolved without action. Traders' 85.5% "No" consensus reflects the nascent stage of probes, procedural hurdles to swift arrest, and six-week timeline to May 31, emphasizing uncertainty in DOJ or local enforcement timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Объем
$1,912Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women against Rep. Eric Swalwell, including claims of assault dating back years, prompted the House Ethics Committee to open an investigation on April 13, 2026, and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department to launch a criminal probe. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California governor campaign amid bipartisan calls for accountability, with one accuser planning a police report. However, no formal charges, indictment, or arrest warrant have emerged, and prior FBI scrutiny over China ties remains unresolved without action. Traders' 85.5% "No" consensus reflects the nascent stage of probes, procedural hurdles to swift arrest, and six-week timeline to May 31, emphasizing uncertainty in DOJ or local enforcement timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,912Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent sexual misconduct allegations from multiple women against Rep. Eric Swalwell, including claims of assault dating back years, prompted the House Ethics Committee to open an investigation on April 13, 2026, and the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department to launch a criminal probe. Swalwell resigned from Congress and suspended his California governor campaign amid bipartisan calls for accountability, with one accuser planning a police report. However, no formal charges, indictment, or arrest warrant have emerged, and prior FBI scrutiny over China ties remains unresolved without action. Traders' 85.5% "No" consensus reflects the nascent stage of probes, procedural hurdles to swift arrest, and six-week timeline to May 31, emphasizing uncertainty in DOJ or local enforcement timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы