**Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains limited among remaining non-recognizers, with the short window to June 30 constraining prospects for new formal recognitions.** As of early 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 non-recognizers, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Sudan, Algeria, and others, plus a few additional states. Recent U.S. diplomatic efforts, including President Trump’s May 2026 calls urging several Muslim-majority countries to join the Abraham Accords framework as part of broader regional deals, have not yet produced new bilateral agreements. Sudan’s earlier normalization commitment continues to face domestic ratification hurdles, while Saudi Arabia’s position stays conditional on progress toward a Palestinian state pathway amid low domestic support for ties. No major announcements or procedural breakthroughs have occurred in the past month that would accelerate recognitions before the deadline, and the compressed timeline plus entrenched regional positions tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict make additional sovereign recognitions improbable without rapid, verifiable diplomatic shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие страны признают Израиль к 30 июня?
$437,297 Объем

Северная Корея
<1%

Куба
1%

Саудовская Аравия
1%

Ливан
2%

Афганистан
1%

Ирак
1%

Пакистан
1%

Сирия
2%

Венесуэла
1%

Тунис
2%

Кувейт
1%

Катар
<1%

Индонезия
1%

Малайзия
<1%

Бангладеш
1%
$437,297 Объем

Северная Корея
<1%

Куба
1%

Саудовская Аравия
1%

Ливан
2%

Афганистан
1%

Ирак
1%

Пакистан
1%

Сирия
2%

Венесуэла
1%

Тунис
2%

Кувейт
1%

Катар
<1%

Индонезия
1%

Малайзия
<1%

Бангладеш
1%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains limited among remaining non-recognizers, with the short window to June 30 constraining prospects for new formal recognitions.** As of early 2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving 29 non-recognizers, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Sudan, Algeria, and others, plus a few additional states. Recent U.S. diplomatic efforts, including President Trump’s May 2026 calls urging several Muslim-majority countries to join the Abraham Accords framework as part of broader regional deals, have not yet produced new bilateral agreements. Sudan’s earlier normalization commitment continues to face domestic ratification hurdles, while Saudi Arabia’s position stays conditional on progress toward a Palestinian state pathway amid low domestic support for ties. No major announcements or procedural breakthroughs have occurred in the past month that would accelerate recognitions before the deadline, and the compressed timeline plus entrenched regional positions tied to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict make additional sovereign recognitions improbable without rapid, verifiable diplomatic shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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