Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено260-279 17%
240–259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
НОВОЕ
$556,688 Объем
НОВОЕ
$556,688 Объем
24 апр. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80–99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120–139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
4%
200–219
8%
220–239
10%
240–259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
2%
400–419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500–519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540–559
<1%
560-579
1%
Более 580
<1%
260-279 17%
240–259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
НОВОЕ
$556,688 Объем
НОВОЕ
$556,688 Объем
24 апр. 2026 г.
<20
$35,939 Объем
<1%
20-39
$17,858 Объем
<1%
40-59
$16,166 Объем
<1%
60-79
$17,865 Объем
<1%
80–99
$61,376 Объем
<1%
100-119
$6,477 Объем
<1%
120–139
$9,557 Объем
<1%
140-159
$12,322 Объем
1%
160-179
$7,908 Объем
2%
180-199
$11,754 Объем
4%
200–219
$11,932 Объем
8%
220–239
$6,155 Объем
10%
240–259
$11,779 Объем
16%
260-279
$11,708 Объем
17%
280-299
$17,686 Объем
15%
300-319
$9,584 Объем
14%
320-339
$5,245 Объем
9%
340-359
$6,043 Объем
5%
360-379
$6,704 Объем
4%
380-399
$7,259 Объем
2%
400–419
$13,782 Объем
2%
420-439
$8,180 Объем
1%
440-459
$8,178 Объем
1%
460-479
$13,062 Объем
1%
480-499
$4,339 Объем
1%
500–519
$3,227 Объем
<1%
520-539
$17,050 Объем
<1%
540–559
$25,835 Объем
<1%
560-579
$106,409 Объем
1%
Более 580
$65,683 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$556,688Дата окончания
24 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 17 12:00 PM ET to April 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$556,688Дата окончания
24 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts April 17-24, reflecting his recent benchmark of 299 posts April 7-14 (43/day average) amid viral spikes from South Africa farm attack commentary and Grok-4.20's top healthcare benchmark, but moderated by a sharp slowdown to 33 posts April 13-15 during Starship V3 static fire prep. The neck-and-neck leading bins (260-279 at 16.5%, 240-259 at 15.5%, 280-299 at 14.5%) underscore uncertainty in his erratic posting rhythm—driven by real-time news hooks like SpaceX milestones or political firestorms—versus quieter stretches without catalysts. Watch for Tesla updates or xAI announcements to tip momentum higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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