Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Elon Musk's X posts from April 16-18 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), directly echoing the prior three-day period's (April 13-15) actual count in that range, as tracked by Polymarket's X data tool showing a recent weekly average of 45 posts per day (270 total through April 16 morning). This moderation from higher historical peaks reflects steady engagement on viral South Africa controversies, including Starlink's rural internet push against B-BBEE equity rules and accusations of "Apartheid 2.0," alongside U.S. immigration debates, without explosive catalysts like product reveals in the last 48 hours. Lower 40-64 (26.5%) accounts for potential DOGE workload slowdowns, while 90-114 (20.5%) eyes upside from escalating public feuds or meme-worthy replies; proximity to market close heightens volatility from real-time posting bursts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено65-89 40%
40-64 26%
90-114 21%
115-139 9%
$214,872 Объем
$214,872 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
4%
40-64
26%
65-89
40%
90-114
21%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 26%
90-114 21%
115-139 9%
$214,872 Объем
$214,872 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$38,535 Объем
4%
40-64
$13,081 Объем
26%
65-89
$8,903 Объем
40%
90-114
$10,133 Объем
21%
115-139
$12,919 Объем
9%
140-164
$13,203 Объем
2%
165-189
$22,887 Объем
1%
190-214
$28,591 Объем
<1%
215-239
$20,870 Объем
<1%
240+
$46,332 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Elon Musk's X posts from April 16-18 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), directly echoing the prior three-day period's (April 13-15) actual count in that range, as tracked by Polymarket's X data tool showing a recent weekly average of 45 posts per day (270 total through April 16 morning). This moderation from higher historical peaks reflects steady engagement on viral South Africa controversies, including Starlink's rural internet push against B-BBEE equity rules and accusations of "Apartheid 2.0," alongside U.S. immigration debates, without explosive catalysts like product reveals in the last 48 hours. Lower 40-64 (26.5%) accounts for potential DOGE workload slowdowns, while 90-114 (20.5%) eyes upside from escalating public feuds or meme-worthy replies; proximity to market close heightens volatility from real-time posting bursts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$214,872Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Elon Musk's X posts from April 16-18 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), directly echoing the prior three-day period's (April 13-15) actual count in that range, as tracked by Polymarket's X data tool showing a recent weekly average of 45 posts per day (270 total through April 16 morning). This moderation from higher historical peaks reflects steady engagement on viral South Africa controversies, including Starlink's rural internet push against B-BBEE equity rules and accusations of "Apartheid 2.0," alongside U.S. immigration debates, without explosive catalysts like product reveals in the last 48 hours. Lower 40-64 (26.5%) accounts for potential DOGE workload slowdowns, while 90-114 (20.5%) eyes upside from escalating public feuds or meme-worthy replies; proximity to market close heightens volatility from real-time posting bursts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$214,872Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Elon Musk's X posts from April 16-18 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), directly echoing the prior three-day period's (April 13-15) actual count in that range, as tracked by Polymarket's X data tool showing a recent weekly average of 45 posts per day (270 total through April 16 morning). This moderation from higher historical peaks reflects steady engagement on viral South Africa controversies, including Starlink's rural internet push against B-BBEE equity rules and accusations of "Apartheid 2.0," alongside U.S. immigration debates, without explosive catalysts like product reveals in the last 48 hours. Lower 40-64 (26.5%) accounts for potential DOGE workload slowdowns, while 90-114 (20.5%) eyes upside from escalating public feuds or meme-worthy replies; proximity to market close heightens volatility from real-time posting bursts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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