Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the end of 2026, with his current term extending into 2028 and no constitutional trigger or scheduled election forcing an exit before then. Recent developments reinforce continuity: in September 2026 he publicly reaffirmed his commitment to serve “as long as I have life in me,” while advancing foreign policy initiatives such as planned engagement with Syria and domestic legislation on PKK disarmament. Opposition parties face ongoing legal and institutional constraints that limit near-term challenges, and ruling alliance statements have explicitly ruled out early elections. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent “No” reflects the absence of any verified health, legal, or political development that would compel departure within the short resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Эрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
6% вероятность
$638,431 Объем
$638,431 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 3.25 %
Да
6% вероятность
$638,431 Объем
$638,431 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 3.25 %
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the end of 2026, with his current term extending into 2028 and no constitutional trigger or scheduled election forcing an exit before then. Recent developments reinforce continuity: in September 2026 he publicly reaffirmed his commitment to serve “as long as I have life in me,” while advancing foreign policy initiatives such as planned engagement with Syria and domestic legislation on PKK disarmament. Opposition parties face ongoing legal and institutional constraints that limit near-term challenges, and ruling alliance statements have explicitly ruled out early elections. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent “No” reflects the absence of any verified health, legal, or political development that would compel departure within the short resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$638,431Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the end of 2026, with his current term extending into 2028 and no constitutional trigger or scheduled election forcing an exit before then. Recent developments reinforce continuity: in September 2026 he publicly reaffirmed his commitment to serve “as long as I have life in me,” while advancing foreign policy initiatives such as planned engagement with Syria and domestic legislation on PKK disarmament. Opposition parties face ongoing legal and institutional constraints that limit near-term challenges, and ruling alliance statements have explicitly ruled out early elections. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent “No” reflects the absence of any verified health, legal, or political development that would compel departure within the short resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$638,431Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the end of 2026, with his current term extending into 2028 and no constitutional trigger or scheduled election forcing an exit before then. Recent developments reinforce continuity: in September 2026 he publicly reaffirmed his commitment to serve “as long as I have life in me,” while advancing foreign policy initiatives such as planned engagement with Syria and domestic legislation on PKK disarmament. Opposition parties face ongoing legal and institutional constraints that limit near-term challenges, and ruling alliance statements have explicitly ruled out early elections. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent “No” reflects the absence of any verified health, legal, or political development that would compel departure within the short resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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