Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until the presidential election no later than May 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent official statements, including his April 6 rejection of early or snap elections amid opposition protests over Ekrem İmamoğlu's arrest and demands for resignation, underscore institutional stability under AKP control. Unsubstantiated health rumors surfaced in February after a postponed UAE visit—attributed to the host leader's condition—have dissipated without evidence, while Erdoğan remains active in diplomacy, addressing global tensions at the April Antalya Diplomacy Forum. Ongoing 2025–2026 protests signal discontent but lack momentum for impeachment or removal, with no scheduled events likely to shift odds before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Эрдоган выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
$348,914 Объем
$348,914 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
Да
$348,914 Объем
$348,914 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Заработай 4 %
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until the presidential election no later than May 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent official statements, including his April 6 rejection of early or snap elections amid opposition protests over Ekrem İmamoğlu's arrest and demands for resignation, underscore institutional stability under AKP control. Unsubstantiated health rumors surfaced in February after a postponed UAE visit—attributed to the host leader's condition—have dissipated without evidence, while Erdoğan remains active in diplomacy, addressing global tensions at the April Antalya Diplomacy Forum. Ongoing 2025–2026 protests signal discontent but lack momentum for impeachment or removal, with no scheduled events likely to shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$348,914Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until the presidential election no later than May 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent official statements, including his April 6 rejection of early or snap elections amid opposition protests over Ekrem İmamoğlu's arrest and demands for resignation, underscore institutional stability under AKP control. Unsubstantiated health rumors surfaced in February after a postponed UAE visit—attributed to the host leader's condition—have dissipated without evidence, while Erdoğan remains active in diplomacy, addressing global tensions at the April Antalya Diplomacy Forum. Ongoing 2025–2026 protests signal discontent but lack momentum for impeachment or removal, with no scheduled events likely to shift odds before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$348,914Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until the presidential election no later than May 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 89.5% against his departure by December 31, 2026. Recent official statements, including his April 6 rejection of early or snap elections amid opposition protests over Ekrem İmamoğlu's arrest and demands for resignation, underscore institutional stability under AKP control. Unsubstantiated health rumors surfaced in February after a postponed UAE visit—attributed to the host leader's condition—have dissipated without evidence, while Erdoğan remains active in diplomacy, addressing global tensions at the April Antalya Diplomacy Forum. Ongoing 2025–2026 protests signal discontent but lack momentum for impeachment or removal, with no scheduled events likely to shift odds before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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