**Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market have anchored market-implied odds at 70.5% for no change and 26.5% for a 25 basis point hike at the October 2026 FOMC meeting.** July 2026 CPI came in at 3.4% year-over-year with energy prices contributing to the print, while core inflation held at 2.5%; the unemployment rate edged to 4.1% in July amid stable payroll trends. These data points reinforced the hawkish June 2026 dot plot, in which roughly half of participants projected at least one rate increase by year-end under new Chair Kevin Warsh’s data-dependent approach. With the September meeting still ahead, traders price only minimal odds of easing, reflecting the Fed’s current policy stance and limited evidence of cooling price pressures sufficient to justify cuts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение ФРС в октябре?
Решение ФРС в октябре?
Без изменений 71%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 27%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 3.4%
Снижение на 50+ б.п. <1%
$1,018,700 Объем
$1,018,700 Объем
28 окт. 2026 г.
Снижение на 50+ б.п.
1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
3%
Без изменений
71%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
27%
Повышение на 50+ б.п.
1%
Без изменений 71%
Повышение на 25 б.п. 27%
Снижение на 25 б.п. 3.4%
Снижение на 50+ б.п. <1%
$1,018,700 Объем
$1,018,700 Объем
28 окт. 2026 г.
Снижение на 50+ б.п.
$174,005 Объем
1%
Снижение на 25 б.п.
$359,820 Объем
3%
Без изменений
$187,016 Объем
71%
Повышение на 25 б.п.
$178,671 Объем
27%
Повышение на 50+ б.п.
$119,188 Объем
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market have anchored market-implied odds at 70.5% for no change and 26.5% for a 25 basis point hike at the October 2026 FOMC meeting.** July 2026 CPI came in at 3.4% year-over-year with energy prices contributing to the print, while core inflation held at 2.5%; the unemployment rate edged to 4.1% in July amid stable payroll trends. These data points reinforced the hawkish June 2026 dot plot, in which roughly half of participants projected at least one rate increase by year-end under new Chair Kevin Warsh’s data-dependent approach. With the September meeting still ahead, traders price only minimal odds of easing, reflecting the Fed’s current policy stance and limited evidence of cooling price pressures sufficient to justify cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Объем
$1,018,700Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.**Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market have anchored market-implied odds at 70.5% for no change and 26.5% for a 25 basis point hike at the October 2026 FOMC meeting.** July 2026 CPI came in at 3.4% year-over-year with energy prices contributing to the print, while core inflation held at 2.5%; the unemployment rate edged to 4.1% in July amid stable payroll trends. These data points reinforced the hawkish June 2026 dot plot, in which roughly half of participants projected at least one rate increase by year-end under new Chair Kevin Warsh’s data-dependent approach. With the September meeting still ahead, traders price only minimal odds of easing, reflecting the Fed’s current policy stance and limited evidence of cooling price pressures sufficient to justify cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$1,018,700Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market have anchored market-implied odds at 70.5% for no change and 26.5% for a 25 basis point hike at the October 2026 FOMC meeting.** July 2026 CPI came in at 3.4% year-over-year with energy prices contributing to the print, while core inflation held at 2.5%; the unemployment rate edged to 4.1% in July amid stable payroll trends. These data points reinforced the hawkish June 2026 dot plot, in which roughly half of participants projected at least one rate increase by year-end under new Chair Kevin Warsh’s data-dependent approach. With the September meeting still ahead, traders price only minimal odds of easing, reflecting the Fed’s current policy stance and limited evidence of cooling price pressures sufficient to justify cuts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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