Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 18°C early afternoon on May 4, 2026, amid heavy cloud cover, moderate rain showers, and weak westerly winds that limited solar heating to just 10% sunshine. This aligns precisely with pre-event consensus from HARMONIE and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs of 17–19°C under a cool maritime air mass from a low-pressure system over northern Europe, consistent with early May climatology averaging 16°C maxima. Trader-implied odds at virtually 100% for 18°C reflect this strong evidentiary support, with final KNMI daily data expected post-midnight; rare data revisions or unforecasted late clearing could challenge it, though improbable given observed persistence of overcast conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$78,877 Объем
$78,877 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$78,877 Объем
$78,877 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$1,439 Объем
No
13°C
$763 Объем
No
14°C
$2,325 Объем
No
15°C
$5,278 Объем
No
16°C
$7,180 Объем
No
17°C
$9,108 Объем
No
18°C
$15,887 Объем
Yes
19°C
$18,171 Объем
No
20°C
$8,512 Объем
No
21°C
$7,570 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$2,642 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 18°C early afternoon on May 4, 2026, amid heavy cloud cover, moderate rain showers, and weak westerly winds that limited solar heating to just 10% sunshine. This aligns precisely with pre-event consensus from HARMONIE and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs of 17–19°C under a cool maritime air mass from a low-pressure system over northern Europe, consistent with early May climatology averaging 16°C maxima. Trader-implied odds at virtually 100% for 18°C reflect this strong evidentiary support, with final KNMI daily data expected post-midnight; rare data revisions or unforecasted late clearing could challenge it, though improbable given observed persistence of overcast conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$78,877Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 18°C early afternoon on May 4, 2026, amid heavy cloud cover, moderate rain showers, and weak westerly winds that limited solar heating to just 10% sunshine. This aligns precisely with pre-event consensus from HARMONIE and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs of 17–19°C under a cool maritime air mass from a low-pressure system over northern Europe, consistent with early May climatology averaging 16°C maxima. Trader-implied odds at virtually 100% for 18°C reflect this strong evidentiary support, with final KNMI daily data expected post-midnight; rare data revisions or unforecasted late clearing could challenge it, though improbable given observed persistence of overcast conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$78,877Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 18°C early afternoon on May 4, 2026, amid heavy cloud cover, moderate rain showers, and weak westerly winds that limited solar heating to just 10% sunshine. This aligns precisely with pre-event consensus from HARMONIE and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs of 17–19°C under a cool maritime air mass from a low-pressure system over northern Europe, consistent with early May climatology averaging 16°C maxima. Trader-implied odds at virtually 100% for 18°C reflect this strong evidentiary support, with final KNMI daily data expected post-midnight; rare data revisions or unforecasted late clearing could challenge it, though improbable given observed persistence of overcast conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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