Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 18 августа?
100-101°F 50%
102-103°F 32%
98-99°F 9%
104-105°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
93°F или ниже
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 50%
102-103°F 32%
98-99°F 9%
104-105°F 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
93°F или ниже
$50 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$19 Объем
1%
96-97°F
$217 Объем
3%
98-99°F
$166 Объем
9%
100-101°F
$225 Объем
50%
102-103°F
$113 Объем
32%
104-105°F
$15 Объем
6%
106-107°F
$77 Объем
2%
108-109°F
$175 Объем
1%
110-111°F
$175 Объем
<1%
112°F или выше
$185 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Объем
$1,417Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,417Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы