Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a daytime high near 33°C on August 17 under sunny intervals with scattered showers and medium-low rain risk, supporting the market's tight clustering between 32–33°C. Subtropical ridge influence and southeasterly flow maintain above-average warmth consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity (65–95%) limit rapid cooling. Thunderstorm development tied to sea-breeze convergence or residual moisture could suppress the peak through increased cloud cover or brief rain, keeping the distribution between 31–34°C dominant. Model consensus and historical August maxima near 31–32°C reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of the day's final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 августа?
33°C 39%
32°C 32%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
39%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 39%
32°C 32%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
14%
32°C
32%
33°C
39%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to a daytime high near 33°C on August 17 under sunny intervals with scattered showers and medium-low rain risk, supporting the market's tight clustering between 32–33°C. Subtropical ridge influence and southeasterly flow maintain above-average warmth consistent with the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity (65–95%) limit rapid cooling. Thunderstorm development tied to sea-breeze convergence or residual moisture could suppress the peak through increased cloud cover or brief rain, keeping the distribution between 31–34°C dominant. Model consensus and historical August maxima near 31–32°C reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of the day's final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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