Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 11?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 11?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,136 Объем
$61,136 Объем
11 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,136 Объем
$61,136 Объем
11 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$3,751 Объем
No
13°C
$5,414 Объем
No
14°C
$6,992 Объем
No
15°C
$4,692 Объем
No
16°C
$4,936 Объем
No
17°C
$7,110 Объем
No
18°C
$11,072 Объем
Yes
19°C
$10,130 Объем
No
20°C
$2,908 Объем
No
21°C
$2,257 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$1,874 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 9, 2026, 3:47 AM ET
Объем
$61,136Дата окончания
11 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 3:47 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$61,136Дата окончания
11 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 9, 2026, 3:47 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы