Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 29?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 29?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$176,257 Объем
$176,257 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$176,257 Объем
$176,257 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$3,897 Объем
No
19°C
$1,839 Объем
No
20°C
$3,177 Объем
No
21°C
$5,748 Объем
No
22°C
$7,250 Объем
No
23°C
$65,455 Объем
Yes
24°C
$32,257 Объем
No
25°C
$17,162 Объем
No
26°C
$11,337 Объем
No
27°C
$12,537 Объем
No
28°C or higher
$15,597 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$176,257Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$176,257Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration, recorded at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the standard resolution source for these markets—confirm the highest temperature on April 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 23°C amid persistent cloudy conditions and light winds that suppressed daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from CMA and international agencies like ECMWF, which projected highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C following a cooler air mass over Sichuan province. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified meteorological data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the outcome. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from official reanalysis, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a higher reading, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final CMA bulletin expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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