Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest air temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 29°C at the King's Park station, using calibrated thermometers in standard Stevenson screens, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with hourly readings showing peaks near 29°C amid mainly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and moderate easterly winds suppressing extremes beyond seasonal norms for late April, where mean maximums typically hover around 27–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, revisions are exceedingly rare post-initial verification; only an official HKO audit uncovering a higher reading at another station or data anomaly could challenge it, though current reports across sites like Kowloon City show no such exceedance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 28?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$550,032 Объем
$550,032 Объем
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$550,032 Объем
$550,032 Объем
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 26, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest air temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 29°C at the King's Park station, using calibrated thermometers in standard Stevenson screens, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market resolves. This aligns with hourly readings showing peaks near 29°C amid mainly cloudy conditions, isolated showers, and moderate easterly winds suppressing extremes beyond seasonal norms for late April, where mean maximums typically hover around 27–28°C. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, revisions are exceedingly rare post-initial verification; only an official HKO audit uncovering a higher reading at another station or data anomaly could challenge it, though current reports across sites like Kowloon City show no such exceedance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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