Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 2 сентября?
26°C 50%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
50%
27°C
41%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 41%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$191 Объем
1%
23°C
$192 Объем
1%
24°C
$145 Объем
2%
25°C
$220 Объем
5%
26°C
$310 Объем
50%
27°C
$559 Объем
41%
28°C
$182 Объем
6%
29°C
$81 Объем
2%
30°C
$567 Объем
1%
31°C
$97 Объем
<1%
32°C or higher
$102 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$2,644Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,644Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational data point to a stable high-pressure regime with persistent northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating over Istanbul on September 2. Ensemble forecasts from sources including ECMWF and GFS cluster maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies and light winds of 10–20 km/h, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical September averages near 24–26 °C provide context, but current sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea support warmer conditions. With market-implied odds nearly even between 26 °C and 27 °C, traders are pricing in residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon thermal profiles and precise station measurement criteria ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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