Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting minimum temperatures of 20–22 °C across Istanbul stations. Persistent high pressure near 1016–1018 hPa, dew points around 16–19 °C, and warm adjacent sea surfaces limit further cooling, while modest wind speeds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise lows. Small model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and exact wind timing differentiate the closely matched 19–22 °C outcomes, with official forecasts clustering near 21 °C. Traders weigh these factors against historical early-September baselines near 17–20 °C as the day’s final readings approach resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 2 сентября?
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
19°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
16°C or below
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
7%
19°C
37%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
19°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$12 Объем
2%
17°C
$69 Объем
6%
18°C
$69 Объем
7%
19°C
$0 Объем
37%
20°C
$0 Объем
49%
21°C
$0 Объем
49%
22°C
$10 Объем
49%
23°C
$35 Объем
<1%
24°C
$89 Объем
<1%
25°C
$40 Объем
<1%
26°C or higher
$30 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting minimum temperatures of 20–22 °C across Istanbul stations. Persistent high pressure near 1016–1018 hPa, dew points around 16–19 °C, and warm adjacent sea surfaces limit further cooling, while modest wind speeds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise lows. Small model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and exact wind timing differentiate the closely matched 19–22 °C outcomes, with official forecasts clustering near 21 °C. Traders weigh these factors against historical early-September baselines near 17–20 °C as the day’s final readings approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$354Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting minimum temperatures of 20–22 °C across Istanbul stations. Persistent high pressure near 1016–1018 hPa, dew points around 16–19 °C, and warm adjacent sea surfaces limit further cooling, while modest wind speeds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise lows. Small model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and exact wind timing differentiate the closely matched 19–22 °C outcomes, with official forecasts clustering near 21 °C. Traders weigh these factors against historical early-September baselines near 17–20 °C as the day’s final readings approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$354Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as GFS and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting minimum temperatures of 20–22 °C across Istanbul stations. Persistent high pressure near 1016–1018 hPa, dew points around 16–19 °C, and warm adjacent sea surfaces limit further cooling, while modest wind speeds reduce turbulent mixing that could otherwise raise lows. Small model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and exact wind timing differentiate the closely matched 19–22 °C outcomes, with official forecasts clustering near 21 °C. Traders weigh these factors against historical early-September baselines near 17–20 °C as the day’s final readings approach resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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