Trader consensus favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) and 23°C (26%) as leading outcomes for Mexico City's August 23 high, driven by the latest forecast model runs projecting persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating during the peak of the rainy season. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and typical mid-August climatology—daily highs averaging 23–24°C with narrow variability—further constrain extremes, as moist air masses and convection routinely cap temperatures below 26°C. Recent extended guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate aligns with these conditions, showing overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming rather than any anomalous warm-air advection. Updated short-range model data over the next 24 hours could refine the exact high within this favored cluster.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 23 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 23 августа?
22°C 38%
23°C 26%
21°C 15%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
15%
22°C
38%
23°C
26%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C или выше
4%
22°C 38%
23°C 26%
21°C 15%
20°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$106 Объем
1%
19°C
$5 Объем
3%
20°C
$33 Объем
9%
21°C
$0 Объем
15%
22°C
$11 Объем
38%
23°C
$18 Объем
26%
24°C
$33 Объем
9%
25°C
$0 Объем
5%
26°C
$36 Объем
4%
27°C
$52 Объем
3%
28°C или выше
$100 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) and 23°C (26%) as leading outcomes for Mexico City's August 23 high, driven by the latest forecast model runs projecting persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating during the peak of the rainy season. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and typical mid-August climatology—daily highs averaging 23–24°C with narrow variability—further constrain extremes, as moist air masses and convection routinely cap temperatures below 26°C. Recent extended guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate aligns with these conditions, showing overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming rather than any anomalous warm-air advection. Updated short-range model data over the next 24 hours could refine the exact high within this favored cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Объем
$393Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) and 23°C (26%) as leading outcomes for Mexico City's August 23 high, driven by the latest forecast model runs projecting persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating during the peak of the rainy season. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and typical mid-August climatology—daily highs averaging 23–24°C with narrow variability—further constrain extremes, as moist air masses and convection routinely cap temperatures below 26°C. Recent extended guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate aligns with these conditions, showing overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming rather than any anomalous warm-air advection. Updated short-range model data over the next 24 hours could refine the exact high within this favored cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$393Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 22°C (37.5% implied probability) and 23°C (26%) as leading outcomes for Mexico City's August 23 high, driven by the latest forecast model runs projecting persistent cloud cover, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating during the peak of the rainy season. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and typical mid-August climatology—daily highs averaging 23–24°C with narrow variability—further constrain extremes, as moist air masses and convection routinely cap temperatures below 26°C. Recent extended guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate aligns with these conditions, showing overcast skies and precipitation that suppress daytime warming rather than any anomalous warm-air advection. Updated short-range model data over the next 24 hours could refine the exact high within this favored cluster.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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