Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 20 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 20 сентября?
26°C 56%
27°C или выше 31%
25°C 12%
24°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
56%
27°C или выше
31%
26°C 56%
27°C или выше 31%
25°C 12%
24°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$26 Объем
<1%
18°C
$26 Объем
<1%
19°C
$26 Объем
<1%
20°C
$26 Объем
<1%
21°C
$36 Объем
<1%
22°C
$290 Объем
<1%
23°C
$247 Объем
<1%
24°C
$366 Объем
2%
25°C
$537 Объем
12%
26°C
$1,720 Объем
56%
27°C или выше
$3,370 Объем
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$6,671Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,671Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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