Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 3?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 Объем
$63,310 Объем
3 мая 2026 г.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$63,310 Объем
$63,310 Объем
3 мая 2026 г.
17°C or below
$2,636 Объем
No
18°C
$1,676 Объем
No
19°C
$1,296 Объем
No
20°C
$1,942 Объем
No
21°C
$3,459 Объем
No
22°C
$6,329 Объем
No
23°C
$13,892 Объем
Yes
24°C
$10,829 Объем
No
25°C
$9,204 Объем
No
26°C
$6,285 Объем
No
27°C or higher
$5,764 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Объем
$63,310Дата окончания
3 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$63,310Дата окончания
3 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia monitoring stations confirm a maximum temperature of 23°C on May 3, solidifying trader consensus at 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid mild early May conditions in Lombardy. This matches pre-event ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a tight cluster around 23°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds of 8-10 km/h, and moderate solar insolation typical for the season, where historical May 3 averages hover near 21°C. Realistic challenges would require rare post-validation revisions by meteorological authorities or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though standard quality controls minimize such risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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