Trader consensus favors 31°C or higher at 66% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 19, driven by persistent observations of daily highs exceeding 32°C over the past week at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport amid a dominant upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 60%, and light northerly winds that suppress convective activity. Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from April 17 forecast peak afternoon temperatures around 32°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with April climatological averages of 31–33°C during Panama's late dry season. The 17% odds each for 29°C and 30°C reflect uncertainty from possible sea breeze convergence or isolated thunderstorms capping heat buildup. Updated 00Z model runs overnight and local Instituto de Meteorología observations will likely sharpen these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 72%
29°C 14%
30°C 14%
27°C 2.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
72%
31°C or higher 72%
29°C 14%
30°C 14%
27°C 2.9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$602 Объем
<1%
22°C
$538 Объем
1%
23°C
$340 Объем
1%
24°C
$279 Объем
1%
25°C
$244 Объем
1%
26°C
$244 Объем
1%
27°C
$98 Объем
3%
28°C
$40 Объем
3%
29°C
$0 Объем
14%
30°C
$0 Объем
14%
31°C or higher
$24 Объем
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 31°C or higher at 66% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 19, driven by persistent observations of daily highs exceeding 32°C over the past week at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport amid a dominant upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 60%, and light northerly winds that suppress convective activity. Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from April 17 forecast peak afternoon temperatures around 32°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with April climatological averages of 31–33°C during Panama's late dry season. The 17% odds each for 29°C and 30°C reflect uncertainty from possible sea breeze convergence or isolated thunderstorms capping heat buildup. Updated 00Z model runs overnight and local Instituto de Meteorología observations will likely sharpen these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Объем
$2,391Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 31°C or higher at 66% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 19, driven by persistent observations of daily highs exceeding 32°C over the past week at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport amid a dominant upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 60%, and light northerly winds that suppress convective activity. Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from April 17 forecast peak afternoon temperatures around 32°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with April climatological averages of 31–33°C during Panama's late dry season. The 17% odds each for 29°C and 30°C reflect uncertainty from possible sea breeze convergence or isolated thunderstorms capping heat buildup. Updated 00Z model runs overnight and local Instituto de Meteorología observations will likely sharpen these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,391Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 31°C or higher at 66% implied probability for Panama City's highest temperature on April 19, driven by persistent observations of daily highs exceeding 32°C over the past week at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport amid a dominant upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, low humidity below 60%, and light northerly winds that suppress convective activity. Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles from April 17 forecast peak afternoon temperatures around 32°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with April climatological averages of 31–33°C during Panama's late dry season. The 17% odds each for 29°C and 30°C reflect uncertainty from possible sea breeze convergence or isolated thunderstorms capping heat buildup. Updated 00Z model runs overnight and local Instituto de Meteorología observations will likely sharpen these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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