Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a 32–33°C daytime maximum in Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with August climatology averaging near 30–32°C and recent observations of stable 31–33°C readings, underpin the market’s 65.5% implied probability on 33°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous heat dome or subsidence signals, keeping 34°C at just 16.5% while lower outcomes like 32°C trail at 15%. Updated short-range model runs continue to reinforce this tight range ahead of final station observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 21 августа?
33°C 66%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
31°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
66%
34°C
17%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
34°C 17%
32°C 15%
31°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$11 Объем
<1%
30°C
$12 Объем
2%
31°C
$5 Объем
5%
32°C
$16 Объем
15%
33°C
$35 Объем
66%
34°C
$29 Объем
17%
35°C
$1 Объем
5%
36°C
$6 Объем
<1%
37°C
$13 Объем
<1%
38°C
$123 Объем
<1%
39°C or higher
$317 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a 32–33°C daytime maximum in Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with August climatology averaging near 30–32°C and recent observations of stable 31–33°C readings, underpin the market’s 65.5% implied probability on 33°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous heat dome or subsidence signals, keeping 34°C at just 16.5% while lower outcomes like 32°C trail at 15%. Updated short-range model runs continue to reinforce this tight range ahead of final station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$554Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a 32–33°C daytime maximum in Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with August climatology averaging near 30–32°C and recent observations of stable 31–33°C readings, underpin the market’s 65.5% implied probability on 33°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous heat dome or subsidence signals, keeping 34°C at just 16.5% while lower outcomes like 32°C trail at 15%. Updated short-range model runs continue to reinforce this tight range ahead of final station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$554Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models points to a 32–33°C daytime maximum in Tel Aviv on August 21 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly sea breezes typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. These factors, combined with August climatology averaging near 30–32°C and recent observations of stable 31–33°C readings, underpin the market’s 65.5% implied probability on 33°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow with no anomalous heat dome or subsidence signals, keeping 34°C at just 16.5% while lower outcomes like 32°C trail at 15%. Updated short-range model runs continue to reinforce this tight range ahead of final station observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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