Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to clear skies and light northwest winds sustaining afternoon highs near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 16, aligning with the tight 44% and 38.5% market shares for those thresholds. High pressure and minimal cloud cover will maximize solar insolation during peak heating hours, while elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures reduce coastal cooling and support modest humidity levels that limit evaporative effects. Subtle differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, with historical mid-September averages near 31°C providing a baseline traders weigh against any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 16 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 16 сентября?
33°C 44%
34°C 40%
32°C 8%
35°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
44%
34°C
39%
35°C
6%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C или выше
2%
33°C 44%
34°C 40%
32°C 8%
35°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
30°C
$0 Объем
2%
31°C
$0 Объем
2%
32°C
$0 Объем
8%
33°C
$50 Объем
44%
34°C
$14 Объем
39%
35°C
$84 Объем
6%
36°C
$0 Объем
6%
37°C
$0 Объем
4%
38°C
$0 Объем
2%
39°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to clear skies and light northwest winds sustaining afternoon highs near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 16, aligning with the tight 44% and 38.5% market shares for those thresholds. High pressure and minimal cloud cover will maximize solar insolation during peak heating hours, while elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures reduce coastal cooling and support modest humidity levels that limit evaporative effects. Subtle differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, with historical mid-September averages near 31°C providing a baseline traders weigh against any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$147Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to clear skies and light northwest winds sustaining afternoon highs near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 16, aligning with the tight 44% and 38.5% market shares for those thresholds. High pressure and minimal cloud cover will maximize solar insolation during peak heating hours, while elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures reduce coastal cooling and support modest humidity levels that limit evaporative effects. Subtle differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, with historical mid-September averages near 31°C providing a baseline traders weigh against any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$147Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to clear skies and light northwest winds sustaining afternoon highs near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on September 16, aligning with the tight 44% and 38.5% market shares for those thresholds. High pressure and minimal cloud cover will maximize solar insolation during peak heating hours, while elevated Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures reduce coastal cooling and support modest humidity levels that limit evaporative effects. Subtle differences between 33°C and 34°C hinge on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, with historical mid-September averages near 31°C providing a baseline traders weigh against any late intensification signals. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы