Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable late-September pattern over Tel Aviv with partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 29°C. This aligns with the market's strong emphasis on 30°C (57.5% implied probability), as current conditions show no active heat advection or significant cooling from northerly flow. September 2026 has run slightly above the 26.6°C monthly normal so far, but the seasonal decline in solar insolation and recent stabilization in sea-surface temperatures limit upside potential beyond 31°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 сентября?
30°C 59%
29°C 19%
32°C 17%
27°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
19%
30°C
59%
31°C
15%
32°C
17%
33°C
16%
34°C
16%
35°C
4%
36°C или выше
2%
30°C 59%
29°C 19%
32°C 17%
27°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
27°C
$0 Объем
16%
28°C
$0 Объем
16%
29°C
$0 Объем
19%
30°C
$160 Объем
59%
31°C
$5 Объем
15%
32°C
$0 Объем
17%
33°C
$0 Объем
16%
34°C
$0 Объем
16%
35°C
$0 Объем
4%
36°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable late-September pattern over Tel Aviv with partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 29°C. This aligns with the market's strong emphasis on 30°C (57.5% implied probability), as current conditions show no active heat advection or significant cooling from northerly flow. September 2026 has run slightly above the 26.6°C monthly normal so far, but the seasonal decline in solar insolation and recent stabilization in sea-surface temperatures limit upside potential beyond 31°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$165Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable late-September pattern over Tel Aviv with partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 29°C. This aligns with the market's strong emphasis on 30°C (57.5% implied probability), as current conditions show no active heat advection or significant cooling from northerly flow. September 2026 has run slightly above the 26.6°C monthly normal so far, but the seasonal decline in solar insolation and recent stabilization in sea-surface temperatures limit upside potential beyond 31°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$165Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a stable late-September pattern over Tel Aviv with partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–9 m/s, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting maximum temperatures near the long-term average of 29°C. This aligns with the market's strong emphasis on 30°C (57.5% implied probability), as current conditions show no active heat advection or significant cooling from northerly flow. September 2026 has run slightly above the 26.6°C monthly normal so far, but the seasonal decline in solar insolation and recent stabilization in sea-surface temperatures limit upside potential beyond 31°C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы