Current forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a mostly sunny, stable day with northwest winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the eastern Mediterranean, where subtropical ridging typically produces clear conditions and moderate humidity. Trader consensus heavily favoring 33°C reflects slight upward bias in recent model runs and the potential for localized urban heat effects or brief afternoon peaks, while lower probabilities on 34°C or above account for the low likelihood of significant warming or model errors. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 9 сентября?
33°C 76%
34°C 17%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
76%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
33°C 76%
34°C 17%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
76%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a mostly sunny, stable day with northwest winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the eastern Mediterranean, where subtropical ridging typically produces clear conditions and moderate humidity. Trader consensus heavily favoring 33°C reflects slight upward bias in recent model runs and the potential for localized urban heat effects or brief afternoon peaks, while lower probabilities on 34°C or above account for the low likelihood of significant warming or model errors. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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