**Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles show a high of 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by stable late-summer high pressure, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation.** Partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit daytime heating slightly below recent peaks, aligning with historical September averages near 30–32°C and keeping extremes above 34°C unlikely. The 67% market-implied probability for 32°C and 31% for 33°C capture trader consensus on these near-term model runs, with low odds on outliers reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts this close to the date. Updated guidance through the evening of September 9 could refine the exact peak within that narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 10 сентября?
32°C 61%
33°C 37%
31°C 3%
34°C 2%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
61%
33°C
37%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
32°C 61%
33°C 37%
31°C 3%
34°C 2%
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
61%
33°C
37%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles show a high of 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by stable late-summer high pressure, light to moderate northwest winds, and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation.** Partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit daytime heating slightly below recent peaks, aligning with historical September averages near 30–32°C and keeping extremes above 34°C unlikely. The 67% market-implied probability for 32°C and 31% for 33°C capture trader consensus on these near-term model runs, with low odds on outliers reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature forecasts this close to the date. Updated guidance through the evening of September 9 could refine the exact peak within that narrow band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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