Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest sea breezes, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with highs moderated by coastal humidity around 50–60%. Recent observations on September 10 show daytime peaks of 30–32°C, aligning with climatological norms of 29–32°C for early September and showing no significant deviation from ensemble consensus. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, while lower probabilities for 31°C or 33°C reflect minor model spread in maximum readings and potential for slight timing shifts in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against historical variability in daily maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 11 сентября?
32°C 74%
31°C 16%
33°C 11%
34°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
74%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C или выше
<1%
32°C 74%
31°C 16%
33°C 11%
34°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
28°C или ниже
$665 Объем
<1%
29°C
$373 Объем
<1%
30°C
$279 Объем
2%
31°C
$986 Объем
16%
32°C
$1,068 Объем
74%
33°C
$1,023 Объем
11%
34°C
$616 Объем
4%
35°C
$576 Объем
<1%
36°C
$379 Объем
<1%
37°C
$230 Объем
<1%
38°C или выше
$230 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest sea breezes, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with highs moderated by coastal humidity around 50–60%. Recent observations on September 10 show daytime peaks of 30–32°C, aligning with climatological norms of 29–32°C for early September and showing no significant deviation from ensemble consensus. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, while lower probabilities for 31°C or 33°C reflect minor model spread in maximum readings and potential for slight timing shifts in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against historical variability in daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$6,426Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest sea breezes, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with highs moderated by coastal humidity around 50–60%. Recent observations on September 10 show daytime peaks of 30–32°C, aligning with climatological norms of 29–32°C for early September and showing no significant deviation from ensemble consensus. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, while lower probabilities for 31°C or 33°C reflect minor model spread in maximum readings and potential for slight timing shifts in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against historical variability in daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,426Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, GFS, and regional agencies indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light northwest sea breezes, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with highs moderated by coastal humidity around 50–60%. Recent observations on September 10 show daytime peaks of 30–32°C, aligning with climatological norms of 29–32°C for early September and showing no significant deviation from ensemble consensus. This positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, while lower probabilities for 31°C or 33°C reflect minor model spread in maximum readings and potential for slight timing shifts in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast range against historical variability in daily maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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