Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers indicate a high near 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover after morning fog, and no significant frontal systems. This consensus aligns with recent observations of 18–20°C daytime peaks on September 13–14 and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 16–18°C, so current warmth reflects a brief positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise afternoon peak, which can shift with minor changes in timing or insolation; updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 15 сентября?
20°C 41%
19°C 28%
21°C 20%
18°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
28%
20°C
41%
21°C
20%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
1%
20°C 41%
19°C 28%
21°C 20%
18°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$10 Объем
2%
16°C
$10 Объем
2%
17°C
$129 Объем
4%
18°C
$100 Объем
7%
19°C
$137 Объем
28%
20°C
$264 Объем
41%
21°C
$52 Объем
20%
22°C
$20 Объем
4%
23°C
$18 Объем
3%
24°C
$10 Объем
1%
25°C или выше
$1 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers indicate a high near 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover after morning fog, and no significant frontal systems. This consensus aligns with recent observations of 18–20°C daytime peaks on September 13–14 and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 16–18°C, so current warmth reflects a brief positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise afternoon peak, which can shift with minor changes in timing or insolation; updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Объем
$752Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers indicate a high near 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover after morning fog, and no significant frontal systems. This consensus aligns with recent observations of 18–20°C daytime peaks on September 13–14 and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 16–18°C, so current warmth reflects a brief positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise afternoon peak, which can shift with minor changes in timing or insolation; updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$752Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers indicate a high near 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover after morning fog, and no significant frontal systems. This consensus aligns with recent observations of 18–20°C daytime peaks on September 13–14 and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 16–18°C, so current warmth reflects a brief positive anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise afternoon peak, which can shift with minor changes in timing or insolation; updated model runs and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine probabilities ahead of the close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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