Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which converge on a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on April 18, driving elevated implied probabilities for those outcomes amid spring's typical warming trend. The narrow lead for 28°C at 36% stems from the models' central tendency, with slight spreads arising from uncertainty in patchy rain and afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks to 27°C or permit 29°C under clearer conditions and light southerly winds. Following cooler recent days like April 11's 22°C high, above-normal temperatures align with historical mid-April variability (averages ~23°C), but final resolution hinges on observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, with overnight model updates potentially refining odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
28°C 40%
27°C 25%
29°C 21%
30°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
25%
28°C
43%
29°C
21%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 40%
27°C 25%
29°C 21%
30°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 апр. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$1,484 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,563 Объем
<1%
25°C
$973 Объем
1%
26°C
$1,053 Объем
4%
27°C
$336 Объем
25%
28°C
$371 Объем
43%
29°C
$941 Объем
21%
30°C
$699 Объем
5%
31°C
$957 Объем
2%
32°C
$459 Объем
1%
33°C or higher
$734 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which converge on a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on April 18, driving elevated implied probabilities for those outcomes amid spring's typical warming trend. The narrow lead for 28°C at 36% stems from the models' central tendency, with slight spreads arising from uncertainty in patchy rain and afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks to 27°C or permit 29°C under clearer conditions and light southerly winds. Following cooler recent days like April 11's 22°C high, above-normal temperatures align with historical mid-April variability (averages ~23°C), but final resolution hinges on observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, with overnight model updates potentially refining odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Объем
$9,448Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which converge on a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on April 18, driving elevated implied probabilities for those outcomes amid spring's typical warming trend. The narrow lead for 28°C at 36% stems from the models' central tendency, with slight spreads arising from uncertainty in patchy rain and afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks to 27°C or permit 29°C under clearer conditions and light southerly winds. Following cooler recent days like April 11's 22°C high, above-normal temperatures align with historical mid-April variability (averages ~23°C), but final resolution hinges on observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, with overnight model updates potentially refining odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,448Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which converge on a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on April 18, driving elevated implied probabilities for those outcomes amid spring's typical warming trend. The narrow lead for 28°C at 36% stems from the models' central tendency, with slight spreads arising from uncertainty in patchy rain and afternoon cloud cover that could suppress peaks to 27°C or permit 29°C under clearer conditions and light southerly winds. Following cooler recent days like April 11's 22°C high, above-normal temperatures align with historical mid-April variability (averages ~23°C), but final resolution hinges on observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, with overnight model updates potentially refining odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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