Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 Объем
$60,961 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 Объем
$60,961 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
20°C or below
$3,728 Объем
No
21°C
$1,283 Объем
No
22°C
$4,911 Объем
No
23°C
$3,962 Объем
No
24°C
$4,281 Объем
No
25°C
$12,986 Объем
No
26°C
$6,238 Объем
Yes
27°C
$5,962 Объем
No
28°C
$7,843 Объем
No
29°C
$4,218 Объем
No
30°C or higher
$5,550 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$60,961Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$60,961Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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