Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 Объем
$209,077 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 Объем
$209,077 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
$14,432 Объем
No
17°C
$459 Объем
No
18°C
$647 Объем
No
19°C
$6,152 Объем
No
20°C
$6,919 Объем
No
21°C
$19,879 Объем
No
22°C
$36,698 Объем
No
23°C
$34,269 Объем
No
24°C
$36,969 Объем
No
25°C
$27,920 Объем
Yes
26°C or higher
$24,734 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Объем
$209,077Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$209,077Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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