Recent polls, including Gemius on April 7 showing Latvia First (LPV) at 14.3% narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) at 14.1% and incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9.4%, underpin trader consensus pricing LPV as the frontrunner for most seats in the October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. JV's decline from 2022 highs reflects coalition strains in the JV-ZZS-PRO government amid economic pressures and voter fragmentation favoring populists like LPV. National Alliance (NA) holds steady at around 8-12%, keeping the top trio competitive. The race remains tight due to volatile polling and multiparty dynamics; separation could arise from summer debates, leadership gaffes, or economic data shifts before early voting ramps up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Латвии
JV 32%
LPV 24%
NA 16%
ПРО 12.4%
$59,388 Объем
$59,388 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
JV
25%
LPV
33%
NA
16%
ПРО
10%
ЗЗС
4%
AS
4%
С
2%
SV
1%
ST!
1%
JV 32%
LPV 24%
NA 16%
ПРО 12.4%
$59,388 Объем
$59,388 Объем
3 окт. 2026 г.
JV
$4,067 Объем
25%
LPV
$1,580 Объем
33%
NA
$1,729 Объем
16%
ПРО
$798 Объем
10%
ЗЗС
$48,212 Объем
4%
AS
$827 Объем
4%
С
$561 Объем
2%
SV
$993 Объем
1%
ST!
$621 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polls, including Gemius on April 7 showing Latvia First (LPV) at 14.3% narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) at 14.1% and incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9.4%, underpin trader consensus pricing LPV as the frontrunner for most seats in the October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. JV's decline from 2022 highs reflects coalition strains in the JV-ZZS-PRO government amid economic pressures and voter fragmentation favoring populists like LPV. National Alliance (NA) holds steady at around 8-12%, keeping the top trio competitive. The race remains tight due to volatile polling and multiparty dynamics; separation could arise from summer debates, leadership gaffes, or economic data shifts before early voting ramps up.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$59,388Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent polls, including Gemius on April 7 showing Latvia First (LPV) at 14.3% narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) at 14.1% and incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9.4%, underpin trader consensus pricing LPV as the frontrunner for most seats in the October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. JV's decline from 2022 highs reflects coalition strains in the JV-ZZS-PRO government amid economic pressures and voter fragmentation favoring populists like LPV. National Alliance (NA) holds steady at around 8-12%, keeping the top trio competitive. The race remains tight due to volatile polling and multiparty dynamics; separation could arise from summer debates, leadership gaffes, or economic data shifts before early voting ramps up.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Объем
$59,388Дата окончания
3 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Gemius on April 7 showing Latvia First (LPV) at 14.3% narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) at 14.1% and incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9.4%, underpin trader consensus pricing LPV as the frontrunner for most seats in the October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation with a 5% threshold. JV's decline from 2022 highs reflects coalition strains in the JV-ZZS-PRO government amid economic pressures and voter fragmentation favoring populists like LPV. National Alliance (NA) holds steady at around 8-12%, keeping the top trio competitive. The race remains tight due to volatile polling and multiparty dynamics; separation could arise from summer debates, leadership gaffes, or economic data shifts before early voting ramps up.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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