Incumbent President Patrice Talon's endorsement of Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni as his successor has driven trader consensus to 67.5% implied probability for Wadagni in Benin's April 2026 presidential election, reflecting the ruling Union Progressiste party's institutional dominance and continuity preference. National Assembly President Paul Hounkpè holds 40% as a strong alternative ally within the same pro-Talon bloc, bolstered by his legislative influence amid opposition challenges from restrictive candidacy laws enacted in 2019. Recent polls reinforce Wadagni's lead, with no major disruptions like candidate disqualifications or scandals shifting sentiment, underscoring stability in trader assessments of elite-backed outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNext President of Benin
Next President of Benin
NEW
NEW
Apr 12, 2026
Romuald Wadagni
68%
Paul Hounkpè
37%
NEW
NEW
Apr 12, 2026
Romuald Wadagni
$21 Объем
68%
Paul Hounkpè
$0 Объем
37%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Объем
$21Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$21Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent President Patrice Talon's endorsement of Finance Minister Romuald Wadagni as his successor has driven trader consensus to 67.5% implied probability for Wadagni in Benin's April 2026 presidential election, reflecting the ruling Union Progressiste party's institutional dominance and continuity preference. National Assembly President Paul Hounkpè holds 40% as a strong alternative ally within the same pro-Talon bloc, bolstered by his legislative influence amid opposition challenges from restrictive candidacy laws enacted in 2019. Recent polls reinforce Wadagni's lead, with no major disruptions like candidate disqualifications or scandals shifting sentiment, underscoring stability in trader assessments of elite-backed outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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