Trader sentiment on Elon Musk's tweet volume for March 21-23, 2026—a weekend stretch—centers on his established pattern of 20-40 posts per day, pushing the 65-89 range to a leading 32% implied probability amid recent data showing spikes to 100+ during controversies like the 2024 election frenzy. The closely trailing 90-114 bucket at 24.5% reflects bets on renewed drama from SpaceX milestones or Tesla updates, common catalysts for his meme-fueled barrages. Lower ranges lag as historical weekend lulls rarely dip below 40-64, while extremes like 240+ hover under 1% given X algorithm tweaks curbing over-posting; traders eye midterms buildup for volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено65–89 32%
90-114 25%
115-139 15%
40-64 14%
$77,727 Объем
$77,727 Объем
<40
4%
40-64
14%
65–89
32%
90-114
25%
115-139
15%
140-164
7%
165-189
6%
190-214
1%
215–239
<1%
240+
<1%
65–89 32%
90-114 25%
115-139 15%
40-64 14%
$77,727 Объем
$77,727 Объем
<40
4%
40-64
14%
65–89
32%
90-114
25%
115-139
15%
140-164
7%
165-189
6%
190-214
1%
215–239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Elon Musk's tweet volume for March 21-23, 2026—a weekend stretch—centers on his established pattern of 20-40 posts per day, pushing the 65-89 range to a leading 32% implied probability amid recent data showing spikes to 100+ during controversies like the 2024 election frenzy. The closely trailing 90-114 bucket at 24.5% reflects bets on renewed drama from SpaceX milestones or Tesla updates, common catalysts for his meme-fueled barrages. Lower ranges lag as historical weekend lulls rarely dip below 40-64, while extremes like 240+ hover under 1% given X algorithm tweaks curbing over-posting; traders eye midterms buildup for volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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