President Daniel Noboa's bolstered position following Ecuador's April 2024 security referendum, where voters overwhelmingly approved measures against organized crime including military involvement in prisons and extraterritorial jurisdiction, underpins trader consensus favoring his continuity at 76.5% "No" odds for removal by June 30. The National Assembly lacks the votes for impeachment amid fragmented opposition, and Noboa's Acción Democrática Nacional party holds key influence despite not commanding a majority. His administration's aggressive anti-gang operations have stabilized public security perceptions, with no active constitutional challenges or coup risks evident. Upcoming legislative sessions pose minimal near-term threats, reflecting market confidence in his term extending to 2025.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Объем
$119Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Daniel Noboa ceases to be President of Ecuador for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (Ecuador Time, GMT-5). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Daniel Noboa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Daniel Noboa and the government of Ecuador; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$119Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Daniel Noboa's bolstered position following Ecuador's April 2024 security referendum, where voters overwhelmingly approved measures against organized crime including military involvement in prisons and extraterritorial jurisdiction, underpins trader consensus favoring his continuity at 76.5% "No" odds for removal by June 30. The National Assembly lacks the votes for impeachment amid fragmented opposition, and Noboa's Acción Democrática Nacional party holds key influence despite not commanding a majority. His administration's aggressive anti-gang operations have stabilized public security perceptions, with no active constitutional challenges or coup risks evident. Upcoming legislative sessions pose minimal near-term threats, reflecting market confidence in his term extending to 2025.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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