Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 25 августа?
9°C or below 88%
19°C или выше 87%
13°C 49%
12°C 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
88%
10°C
38%
11°C
43%
12°C
44%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
43%
16°C
20%
17°C
43%
18°C
38%
19°C или выше
87%
9°C or below 88%
19°C или выше 87%
13°C 49%
12°C 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$5 Объем
88%
10°C
$5 Объем
38%
11°C
$0 Объем
43%
12°C
$0 Объем
44%
13°C
$0 Объем
49%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$0 Объем
43%
16°C
$0 Объем
20%
17°C
$0 Объем
43%
18°C
$5 Объем
38%
19°C или выше
$5 Объем
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models shows substantial spread for Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 25, producing the near-even market split between a cool outcome (9 °C or below) and a mild one (19 °C or higher). A weak frontal boundary and variable high pressure are expected to influence the region, with differences in cloud cover and wind speed determining how much radiational cooling occurs after sunset. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower end of the distribution near or below 12 °C, while increased moisture or breezier flow would limit the drop and support readings closer to 15–17 °C. Ensemble spreads remain wide two days out, and the next KNMI and ECMWF runs will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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