Recent forecasts from official Turkish meteorological sources and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara on September 10, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under dry conditions typical of early autumn at the city's ~900 m elevation. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out near dawn, with model consensus centering on 11–13 °C depending on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology shows September 10 averages around 12 °C minimum, while recent days have featured similar clear, stable high-pressure setups without significant frontal passages. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–12 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise minimum readings, which can shift with small variations in dew-point depression or local terrain effects; updated model runs and official overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 10 сентября?
17°C 39%
12°C 30%
11°C 29%
10°C или ниже 28%
10°C или ниже
28%
11°C
29%
12°C
30%
13°C
22%
14°C
12%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
39%
18°C
9%
19°C
12%
20°C или выше
5%
17°C 39%
12°C 30%
11°C 29%
10°C или ниже 28%
10°C или ниже
28%
11°C
29%
12°C
30%
13°C
22%
14°C
12%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
39%
18°C
9%
19°C
12%
20°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official Turkish meteorological sources and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara on September 10, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under dry conditions typical of early autumn at the city's ~900 m elevation. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out near dawn, with model consensus centering on 11–13 °C depending on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology shows September 10 averages around 12 °C minimum, while recent days have featured similar clear, stable high-pressure setups without significant frontal passages. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–12 °C reflects genuine uncertainty in precise minimum readings, which can shift with small variations in dew-point depression or local terrain effects; updated model runs and official overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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