Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature for Chengdu on September 10 likely falling between 16–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and light northerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range. Recent upstream cold air advection and elevated humidity from ongoing precipitation further suppress lows compared to clearer conditions typical earlier in the season. Uncertainty centers on exact cloud timing and intensity: stronger overnight clearing could allow temperatures to dip toward 14°C or below, while thicker stratiform clouds or delayed rain would favor readings near 18–19°C. Updated model runs and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 12–18 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 10 сентября?
14°C или ниже 52%
23°C 33%
18°C 31%
15°C 28%
14°C или ниже
52%
15°C
28%
16°C
19%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
28%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C или выше
9%
14°C или ниже 52%
23°C 33%
18°C 31%
15°C 28%
14°C или ниже
52%
15°C
28%
16°C
19%
17°C
22%
18°C
31%
19°C
28%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C или выше
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a minimum temperature for Chengdu on September 10 likely falling between 16–19°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and light northerly winds that limit nighttime radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range. Recent upstream cold air advection and elevated humidity from ongoing precipitation further suppress lows compared to clearer conditions typical earlier in the season. Uncertainty centers on exact cloud timing and intensity: stronger overnight clearing could allow temperatures to dip toward 14°C or below, while thicker stratiform clouds or delayed rain would favor readings near 18–19°C. Updated model runs and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 12–18 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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