Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 24 августа?
20°C или ниже 83%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
27°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
83%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C
19%
30°C или выше
2%
20°C или ниже 83%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
27°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$5 Объем
83%
21°C
$5 Объем
4%
22°C
$5 Объем
9%
23°C
$5 Объем
36%
24°C
$15 Объем
36%
25°C
$0 Объем
19%
26°C
$0 Объем
19%
27°C
$16 Объем
20%
28°C
$0 Объем
20%
29°C
$0 Объем
19%
30°C или выше
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$56Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$56Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and high humidity levels typical of late August in Guangzhou are positioning overnight lows near 25–27°C for August 24, according to consensus forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and the Met Office. Frequent thunderstorms and moderate rain expected over the next 48 hours introduce modest cooling potential through cloud cover and evaporative effects but are unlikely to drive minima below 23°C given the warm, moist air mass and lack of any strong frontal systems. Trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability appears driven by uncertainty around rainfall intensity and model spread in short-range guidance, while clustered probabilities around 25–29°C align closely with climatological baselines and current ensemble runs. Updated model outputs and official observations on August 23 will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on the daily minimum temperature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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