Latest forecast runs from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 9°C in Helsinki on September 21, underpinning the market-implied 31% probability for that outcome and the tight clustering around 8–11°C. A building high-pressure system over Fennoscandia is promoting lighter northerly winds and reduced cloud cover overnight, enhancing radiative cooling after daytime highs near 15–16°C. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and localized cloud variability, while historical September minima in the region average around 8–10°C. Updated model guidance and official briefings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 21 сентября?
8°C 72%
10°C 38%
6°C 19%
7°C 19%
4°C или ниже
1%
5°C
3%
6°C
19%
7°C
19%
8°C
72%
9°C
36%
10°C
38%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
8°C 72%
10°C 38%
6°C 19%
7°C 19%
4°C или ниже
1%
5°C
3%
6°C
19%
7°C
19%
8°C
72%
9°C
36%
10°C
38%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast runs from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 9°C in Helsinki on September 21, underpinning the market-implied 31% probability for that outcome and the tight clustering around 8–11°C. A building high-pressure system over Fennoscandia is promoting lighter northerly winds and reduced cloud cover overnight, enhancing radiative cooling after daytime highs near 15–16°C. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes and localized cloud variability, while historical September minima in the region average around 8–10°C. Updated model guidance and official briefings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы