Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models show high pressure building over Fennoscandia, promoting clear skies and light northerly winds that favor radiative cooling overnight on September 22. This setup supports market-implied odds clustering around 6–8°C for the daily minimum, with trader consensus reflecting ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points. Minor model disagreements on cloud cover or wind timing create the tight distribution among leading outcomes, as even small changes in those variables can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in Helsinki average near 8°C, providing context for the current positioning. Updated runs from FMI and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 22 сентября?
7°C 40%
6°C 39%
8°C 25%
5°C 19%
3°C или ниже
3%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
25%
9°C
16%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
2%
13°C или выше
2%
7°C 40%
6°C 39%
8°C 25%
5°C 19%
3°C или ниже
3%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
39%
7°C
40%
8°C
25%
9°C
16%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
2%
13°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models show high pressure building over Fennoscandia, promoting clear skies and light northerly winds that favor radiative cooling overnight on September 22. This setup supports market-implied odds clustering around 6–8°C for the daily minimum, with trader consensus reflecting ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points. Minor model disagreements on cloud cover or wind timing create the tight distribution among leading outcomes, as even small changes in those variables can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima in Helsinki average near 8°C, providing context for the current positioning. Updated runs from FMI and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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