Recent forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS indicate Helsinki’s September 24 minimum will likely reach 10–11 °C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow associated with a passing low-pressure system. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs near 14–15 °C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-5 °C and 15 °C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads still allow for stronger cold advection or clearer breaks that could shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 8 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor milder values closer to the upper end of the 6–14 °C range. Updated model runs and official guidance through September 23 will refine the precise threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 24 сентября?
5°C или ниже 100%
15°C или выше 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
5°C или ниже
100%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
39%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C или выше
98%
5°C или ниже 100%
15°C или выше 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
5°C или ниже
100%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
39%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C или выше
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and GFS indicate Helsinki’s September 24 minimum will likely reach 10–11 °C under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow associated with a passing low-pressure system. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs near 14–15 °C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-5 °C and 15 °C+ outcomes because ensemble spreads still allow for stronger cold advection or clearer breaks that could shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 8 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor milder values closer to the upper end of the 6–14 °C range. Updated model runs and official guidance through September 23 will refine the precise threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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