Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 19 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 19 августа?
27°C 37%
28°C 26%
26°C 26%
25°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
26%
27°C
37%
28°C
26%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 26%
26°C 26%
25°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$59 Объем
<1%
23°C
$101 Объем
1%
24°C
$29 Объем
3%
25°C
$94 Объем
10%
26°C
$328 Объем
26%
27°C
$167 Объем
37%
28°C
$242 Объем
26%
29°C
$0 Объем
7%
30°C
$183 Объем
3%
31°C
$105 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$1,314Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,314Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate typical August monsoon conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms around August 19, keeping overnight lows near the seasonal average of 27°C and driving the market's leading 34% probability on that outcome. Key variables include variable cloud cover and rainfall intensity, which can enhance evaporative cooling or limit nighttime radiative losses to favor 25–26°C readings, while clearer skies or subsidence from regional high pressure might allow 28–29°C. High humidity, light winds, and urban heat retention further stabilize temperatures near these levels, though model spread on any approaching low-pressure trough adds uncertainty reflected in the broad distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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