**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 24 августа?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 Объем
$39,604 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$39,604 Объем
$39,604 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$130 Объем
No
22°C
$120 Объем
No
23°C
$210 Объем
No
24°C
$1,561 Объем
No
25°C
$2,132 Объем
No
26°C
$5,645 Объем
No
27°C
$5,177 Объем
No
28°C
$14,389 Объем
Yes
29°C
$9,196 Объем
No
30°C
$915 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$130 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$39,604Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$39,604Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader consensus on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 24 rests on post-event confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory observations.** Overnight temperatures held steady near 28°C under cloudy skies with light rain and showers, limiting radiative cooling and diurnal temperature range in the subtropical maritime climate. Multiple independent records, including hourly data showing no dip below this threshold amid 70–95% relative humidity and southwesterly flow, align precisely with the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges would require revised official HKO station data revealing a brief localized drop or measurement discrepancies across sites, though current verified readings and climatological norms for late August make such revisions improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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