Recent model runs highlight a strengthening northerly flow and associated rain system arriving over Istanbul on September 22–23, driving daytime highs down to 18–20°C with overnight cooling under increased cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble guidance clusters minimum temperatures between 12–15°C, yet spread in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produces the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes. Official agencies note typical late-September variability of several degrees, with resolution hinging on the precise hour of lowest reading under the 24-hour window. Updated high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 23 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 23 сентября?
8°C или ниже 100%
18°C или выше 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
100%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C или выше
98%
8°C или ниже 100%
18°C или выше 98%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
9°C
$0 Объем
40%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
40%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
40%
14°C
$0 Объем
40%
15°C
$0 Объем
40%
16°C
$0 Объем
40%
17°C
$0 Объем
40%
18°C или выше
$0 Объем
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs highlight a strengthening northerly flow and associated rain system arriving over Istanbul on September 22–23, driving daytime highs down to 18–20°C with overnight cooling under increased cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble guidance clusters minimum temperatures between 12–15°C, yet spread in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produces the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes. Official agencies note typical late-September variability of several degrees, with resolution hinging on the precise hour of lowest reading under the 24-hour window. Updated high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs highlight a strengthening northerly flow and associated rain system arriving over Istanbul on September 22–23, driving daytime highs down to 18–20°C with overnight cooling under increased cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble guidance clusters minimum temperatures between 12–15°C, yet spread in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produces the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes. Official agencies note typical late-September variability of several degrees, with resolution hinging on the precise hour of lowest reading under the 24-hour window. Updated high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs highlight a strengthening northerly flow and associated rain system arriving over Istanbul on September 22–23, driving daytime highs down to 18–20°C with overnight cooling under increased cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble guidance clusters minimum temperatures between 12–15°C, yet spread in frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing produces the near-even market split between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes. Official agencies note typical late-September variability of several degrees, with resolution hinging on the precise hour of lowest reading under the 24-hour window. Updated high-resolution runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the implied-probability bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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