Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 21 will likely settle between 26–28°C, driven by moderate westerly to northwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and clear skies allowing limited radiative cooling. High humidity around 70–90% overnight reduces the diurnal range, while the urban heat island effect and sea-breeze moderation keep readings above typical September baselines near 25°C. Slight model disagreements on wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of stronger cooling under current synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Карачи 21 сентября?
23°C или ниже 69%
26°C 45%
25°C 21%
24°C 19%
23°C или ниже
69%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
45%
27°C
48%
28°C
47%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
23°C или ниже 69%
26°C 45%
25°C 21%
24°C 19%
23°C или ниже
69%
24°C
19%
25°C
21%
26°C
45%
27°C
48%
28°C
47%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 21 will likely settle between 26–28°C, driven by moderate westerly to northwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and clear skies allowing limited radiative cooling. High humidity around 70–90% overnight reduces the diurnal range, while the urban heat island effect and sea-breeze moderation keep readings above typical September baselines near 25°C. Slight model disagreements on wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of stronger cooling under current synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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