Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to minimum temperatures in London on September 20 clustering between 13–15 °C, driven by a northwest airflow under building high pressure that limits overnight cloud cover and allows modest radiational cooling after daytime highs near 22 °C. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show dew points falling into single digits by dawn, supporting the market’s tight distribution around 14 °C, while variable winds near 10–15 km/h may prevent deeper cooling. Historical September minima average near 11–12 °C, but the current mild pattern and short forecast horizon keep outcomes tightly bunched, with fresh model updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 20 сентября?
14°C 50%
12°C 30%
15°C 29%
13°C 20%
9°C или ниже
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
30%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
16%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C или выше
3%
14°C 50%
12°C 30%
15°C 29%
13°C 20%
9°C или ниже
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
30%
13°C
20%
14°C
38%
15°C
29%
16°C
16%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to minimum temperatures in London on September 20 clustering between 13–15 °C, driven by a northwest airflow under building high pressure that limits overnight cloud cover and allows modest radiational cooling after daytime highs near 22 °C. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show dew points falling into single digits by dawn, supporting the market’s tight distribution around 14 °C, while variable winds near 10–15 km/h may prevent deeper cooling. Historical September minima average near 11–12 °C, but the current mild pattern and short forecast horizon keep outcomes tightly bunched, with fresh model updates expected to refine the exact low before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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