Recent forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate the lowest temperature in London on September 6 will likely fall between 14–15 °C, with trader consensus split evenly between those outcomes amid mild southerly flow and variable overnight cloud cover. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with dew points near 11–12 °C and light winds, supports these levels rather than sharper drops or warmer advection. Historical averages for early September lows hover around 12–13 °C, but current high pressure and southerly steering are limiting further cooling. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will clarify whether cloud breaks allow the mercury to reach 14 °C or hold near 15 °C before sunrise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 6 сентября?
15°C 43%
14°C 41%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
41%
15°C
43%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
1%
15°C 43%
14°C 41%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
41%
15°C
43%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate the lowest temperature in London on September 6 will likely fall between 14–15 °C, with trader consensus split evenly between those outcomes amid mild southerly flow and variable overnight cloud cover. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, combined with dew points near 11–12 °C and light winds, supports these levels rather than sharper drops or warmer advection. Historical averages for early September lows hover around 12–13 °C, but current high pressure and southerly steering are limiting further cooling. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will clarify whether cloud breaks allow the mercury to reach 14 °C or hold near 15 °C before sunrise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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