Forecast models from the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF consensus currently project an overnight low near 17–18°C for London on September 7, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and the absence of a strong cold advection event. Recent observations show daytime highs in the low 20s°C moderating under partly cloudy skies, with dew points supporting limited radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 18°C and 17°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical September climatology for the region. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 7 сентября?
18°C 42%
17°C 30%
16°C 13%
19°C 13%
13°C или ниже
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
13%
17°C
30%
18°C
42%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
18°C 42%
17°C 30%
16°C 13%
19°C 13%
13°C или ниже
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
13%
17°C
30%
18°C
42%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF consensus currently project an overnight low near 17–18°C for London on September 7, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and the absence of a strong cold advection event. Recent observations show daytime highs in the low 20s°C moderating under partly cloudy skies, with dew points supporting limited radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 18°C and 17°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical September climatology for the region. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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