Recent forecasts from agencies like PAGASA and models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Manila's overnight low on August 27 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply. Historical August lows average 25-26°C, with recent observations around 27-28°C. Model spreads create genuine uncertainty between 25-28°C outcomes, as varying rainfall timing and wind patterns from the monsoon could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 27 августа?
31°C или выше 53%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C или ниже
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
46%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
53%
31°C или выше 53%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C или ниже
14%
22°C
19%
23°C
46%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like PAGASA and models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Manila's overnight low on August 27 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range amid the prevailing southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply. Historical August lows average 25-26°C, with recent observations around 27-28°C. Model spreads create genuine uncertainty between 25-28°C outcomes, as varying rainfall timing and wind patterns from the monsoon could nudge the exact minimum by a degree or two. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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