Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected overnight across the Milan area are the main driver behind elevated trader odds for a low of 13–18 °C on 21 August. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation inhibit radiative cooling while introducing cooler maritime air, pushing minimum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 19 °C. Latest model runs from ECMWF and GFS consensus show overnight lows near 18–21 °C, with some scenarios dipping lower if convective activity lingers into the early morning hours. This scientific setup—elevated humidity, weak winds, and widespread showers—explains why markets assign the highest implied probabilities to the 13–18 °C band while pricing warmer outcomes near zero. Updated forecasts and any last-minute model shifts ahead of dawn will remain key variables for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Милане 21 августа?
13°C или ниже 86%
15°C 48%
14°C 47%
16°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
86%
14°C
47%
15°C
48%
16°C
34%
17°С
34%
18°C
34%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
13°C или ниже 86%
15°C 48%
14°C 47%
16°C 34%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$92 Объем
86%
14°C
$98 Объем
47%
15°C
$92 Объем
48%
16°C
$0 Объем
34%
17°С
$0 Объем
34%
18°C
$0 Объем
34%
19°C
$132 Объем
<1%
20°C
$150 Объем
<1%
21°C
$150 Объем
<1%
22°C
$139 Объем
<1%
23°C или выше
$179 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected overnight across the Milan area are the main driver behind elevated trader odds for a low of 13–18 °C on 21 August. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation inhibit radiative cooling while introducing cooler maritime air, pushing minimum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 19 °C. Latest model runs from ECMWF and GFS consensus show overnight lows near 18–21 °C, with some scenarios dipping lower if convective activity lingers into the early morning hours. This scientific setup—elevated humidity, weak winds, and widespread showers—explains why markets assign the highest implied probabilities to the 13–18 °C band while pricing warmer outcomes near zero. Updated forecasts and any last-minute model shifts ahead of dawn will remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,032Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected overnight across the Milan area are the main driver behind elevated trader odds for a low of 13–18 °C on 21 August. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation inhibit radiative cooling while introducing cooler maritime air, pushing minimum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 19 °C. Latest model runs from ECMWF and GFS consensus show overnight lows near 18–21 °C, with some scenarios dipping lower if convective activity lingers into the early morning hours. This scientific setup—elevated humidity, weak winds, and widespread showers—explains why markets assign the highest implied probabilities to the 13–18 °C band while pricing warmer outcomes near zero. Updated forecasts and any last-minute model shifts ahead of dawn will remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,032Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Thunderstorms and heavy rain expected overnight across the Milan area are the main driver behind elevated trader odds for a low of 13–18 °C on 21 August. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation inhibit radiative cooling while introducing cooler maritime air, pushing minimum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 19 °C. Latest model runs from ECMWF and GFS consensus show overnight lows near 18–21 °C, with some scenarios dipping lower if convective activity lingers into the early morning hours. This scientific setup—elevated humidity, weak winds, and widespread showers—explains why markets assign the highest implied probabilities to the 13–18 °C band while pricing warmer outcomes near zero. Updated forecasts and any last-minute model shifts ahead of dawn will remain key variables for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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